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Trillions in Contracts: Analyzing Post-Expiry Volatility

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

a month ago


On June 21, 2025, $5.8 trillion in derivative contracts will expire, raising interest among analysts and traders. Historical data suggests possible increased market volatility post this date.

Volume of Expiring Contracts

According to Citigroup, $5.8 trillion in derivative contracts, including $4.2 trillion of index options and $819 billion of stock options, will expire on June 21, 2025. This event, known as 'Triple Witching Day,' has drawn significant attention in financial markets.

Impact on Equities and Crypto Sentiment

The reaction to the upcoming date has been muted, with no significant comments from key market figures. However, analysts assert that heightened volatility may be seen in the days following expiration as traders adjust their positions. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) stands at $105,999.57, with a market cap of $2.11 trillion.

Future Market Sentiment

The Coincu research team believes that derivatives expiration may indirectly impact cryptocurrencies, given their sensitivity to shifts in primary markets. If equity market volatility spills over into crypto asset valuations, we could witness shifts in overall market sentiment.

Analyzing the impending expiration of contracts, experts predict possible changes in market dynamics. Investors should remain vigilant regarding the magnitude and implications of these events.

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