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XRP/BTC on the verge of breaking an eight-year downtrend

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

4 hours ago


XRP may be on the verge of a significant breakthrough in its long battle against market resistance. Current factors such as regulatory clarity and ETF dynamics play a crucial role.

Technical Setup: An Eight-Year Compression

Since 2017, XRP has traded under a descending trendline that has capped every major rally against Bitcoin. This structure has now tightened into a wedge pattern, with XRP/BTC pressing against resistance that has held firm for nearly a decade.

A decisive breakout above this trendline would mark a technical turning point, flipping long-term resistance into support and opening the door to significant outperformance relative to Bitcoin.

Institutional Catalysts: ETFs Poised to Reshape Liquidity

The institutional landscape is evolving rapidly. A 2x leveraged XRP futures ETF launched in July, marking the first XRP-linked product of its kind on a major U.S. exchange. Currently, over half a dozen spot XRP ETF applications are under SEC review, with critical deadlines slated for October.

Approval could unleash waves of institutional demand like what Bitcoin experienced earlier this year.

Legal Clarity: The SEC Case Finally Ends

For years, the Ripple-SEC lawsuit cast a shadow over XRP, curbing institutional interest and raising doubts about its regulatory status. This overhang is now gone, as court filings confirm that both Ripple and the SEC have withdrawn their appeals, officially bringing the case to a close.

This final resolution has transformed XRP’s risk profile, making it far more attractive to institutional allocators.

XRP continues to demonstrate significant potential, with key factors such as technical pressure, institutional activity, and legal clarity creating a rare convergence. This moment could be one of the most decisive in XRP's history.

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