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Galaxy Digital's Cautious Outlook for Bitcoin in 2026

Galaxy Digital's Cautious Outlook for Bitcoin in 2026

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by Satoshi Nakamura

6 months ago


Galaxy Digital has unveiled its annual report, shedding light on the future of Bitcoin and expressing a cautious stance for the year 2026. While the report acknowledges positive trends such as ETF inflows and regulatory progress, it also points to significant uncertainties that could impact Bitcoin's trajectory. The source notes that these factors will play a crucial role in shaping market dynamics moving forward.

Macroeconomic Factors Impacting Bitcoin's Price

The report highlights that macroeconomic disappointments, leverage liquidations, and substantial sales by large holders, or 'whales', have contributed to Bitcoin's price retreating to the 80,000-90,000 range. Alex Thorn, the Director of Research at Galaxy Digital, characterized 2026 as too chaotic for accurate predictions, yet he did not dismiss the potential for Bitcoin to achieve new all-time highs during the year.

Importance of Stability for Bitcoin

To mitigate downward risks, the report stresses the importance of Bitcoin maintaining stability above the 100,000-105,000 range. This need for stability is underscored by the recent pullback from a record high of 126,080 on October 6, 2025, which illustrates the cryptocurrency's current volatility. Additionally, as 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin is facing challenges with a negative Sharpe ratio, and the total assets under management (AUM) for spot Bitcoin ETFs have reached approximately 141 billion, falling short of the ambitious 250 billion target.

Recent insights indicate that Bitcoin's funding rates are stable, contrasting with the uncertainties highlighted in Galaxy Digital's annual report. For more details, see the full article here.

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