In a surprising turn of events following Changpeng Zhao's recent pardon, traders on the Kalshi platform are now speculating about the potential for a presidential pardon for FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried. This development has sparked interest in the crypto community as traders weigh the implications of further clemencies in the industry. The publication provides the following information:
Probability of Presidential Pardon for Bankman-Fried
Kalshi traders have assigned a 10% probability to the possibility of Bankman-Fried receiving a presidential pardon, despite his serious conviction related to significant customer losses amounting to billions. This speculation highlights the ongoing volatility and unpredictability within the cryptocurrency market.
Strong Market Engagement
Interestingly, market engagement remains strong, with Kalshi reporting an impressive trading volume exceeding $218 million. This figure underscores the active participation of traders who are keenly monitoring developments in the crypto landscape, particularly those involving high-profile figures like Bankman-Fried.
The recent pardon of Zhao has generated optimism in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for BNB. This contrasts with the speculation surrounding a potential presidential pardon for Bankman-Fried. For more details, see BNB Outlook.







