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**Analysis of Lower Than Expected US Employment Data and Potential Impacts on Interest Rates**

May 4, 2024

An analyst at Fitch Ratings, Olu Sonola, shared thoughts on the recent lower-than-expected US employment figures for April. Sonola predicts that the Federal Reserve (FED) will hold off on adjusting US interest rates immediately. The reason for this decision is the need for more substantial evidence regarding the cooling trends in the US labor market.

Sonola mentions that the recent employment growth slowdown may imply a future interest rate cut. However, it is essential to avoid jumping to conclusions based on just one month of data. The analyst advises that multiple months of similar trends and improved inflation numbers are necessary for the Fed to consider reintroducing rate cuts sooner.

After a recent meeting, the FED chose to maintain interest rates at their current levels, aligning with expectations. Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks during the subsequent press conference hinted at a dovish stance. It is essential to note that the information presented here is not intended as investment advice.

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