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Bitcoin and Decreasing Demand: Economic Factors and Their Impact

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


Recent U.S. economic data has led to increased demand for safe assets, negatively impacting Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price Drop and Flight to Safe Assets

On Thursday, Bitcoin ([BTC]) failed to sustain its bullish momentum as traders sold off assets and shifted capital towards government bonds following weaker-than-expected labor market data from the U.S. This led to gold prices reaching record highs, putting Bitcoin's ability to maintain the $108,000 level in question amid growing recession fears.

Bitcoin's Correlation with Stocks

There is a high correlation between Bitcoin and stocks, particularly with the Nasdaq Index, which has a 60-day correlation with Bitcoin sitting at 72%. This suggests that both assets are moving in the same direction. While stocks are likely to benefit from lower interest rates, cryptocurrencies are facing renewed pressure.

Potential Structural Catalysts for Bitcoin

Some analysts highlight the potential addition of Strategy (MSTR) to the S&P 500 as a catalyst that could shift sentiment. This move might enhance the legitimacy of crypto assets and generate additional demand for Bitcoin. However, despite the rising demand for short-term Treasuries, this should not always be interpreted as a long-term bearish signal for Bitcoin.

Short-term factors weighing on Bitcoin prices are driven by increased demand for safe assets, but potential changes in the economic landscape may influence the crypto market going forward.

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