In recent weeks, the Bitcoin market has shown changes in trading activity distribution, with increased influence from retail traders and decreased activity from large players.
Increase in Retail Order Share
Analysis of the Bitcoin futures market indicates a shift in trading composition. The average executed order size has declined, indicating an increasing share of smaller retail orders in overall activity. According to ShayanBTC, large players previously supported bullish price movements, but now the growing retail trader activity reflects a shift in market dynamics.
Decline in Whale Influence
Since late Q2 2025, whale involvement in the Bitcoin market has decreased. Large players seem to be holding on to positions without selling at current price levels. The absence of aggressive selling from major participants changes the market landscape, allowing retail traders to have a significant influence on short-term price movements.
Breakout Potential and Future Outlook
Bitcoin is currently floating at its previous all-time high, with technical indicators suggesting the potential for a breakout. If retail momentum remains high without significant whale distribution, Bitcoin could move through key resistance levels. However, renewed activity from whales could alter the market conditions.
The observed changes in market activity create conditions for significant price movements, with an increasing role of retail traders and reduced influence from large players.