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Impact of US Economic Uncertainty on Japanese Yen Volatility

May 6, 2024

The Japanese yen has experienced increased volatility recently, especially during the Asia Pacific trading session. Factors affecting both the Japanese and American economies have influenced the performance of the yen against the US dollar. Concerns about the decline in US treasury bond yields and the potential regression of the US economy have contributed to the instability of the Japanese yen.

Amid the economic uncertainty in the US, the Japanese yen has shown heightened volatility due to various economic factors impacting both countries.

Changes in Yen's Value

During the Asia Pacific trading session, the yen has shown significant fluctuations against the US dollar. For example, on 1st May, the USDJPY pair started trading at 157.74 and dropped to 153.13 by Thursday, 2nd May. The downward trend continued, reaching a low of 151.85 on Friday. As of 8:15 am UK time on Monday, 6th May, the pair stabilized at 153.787 and remained at this level during the Asia Pacific session today.

Concerns about US Economic Factors

One of the main concerns is the decrease in US treasury bond yields. The US economy's high debt levels make fluctuations in bond values significant. This downward pressure on bond yields, especially at the shorter end, has been influenced by changes in short-term interest rates, resulting in declines in two, five, and 10-year Treasury yields.

US Economic Trends

The US economy's resilience and potential regression are crucial considerations in understanding the impact on the Japanese yen's volatility. Declines in bond yields and other economic factors play a significant role in shaping the relationship between the US and Japanese economies.

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