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Options Traders Anticipate Bitcoin to Stay Below $66,000

Options Traders Anticipate Bitcoin to Stay Below $66,000

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by Gustavo Mendoza

3 months ago


The Bitcoin options market is witnessing a notable shift in trader sentiment, with increasing expectations that the cryptocurrency will remain below $66,000 through late April. This change reflects a growing caution among investors as they navigate the volatile landscape of digital assets. The source reports that this cautious outlook is driven by various market factors and trends.

Bitcoin Options Delta Skew Rises

Recent data from the derivatives platform Deribit reveals that the 30-day options delta skew for Bitcoin has risen to 15. This indicates that traders are willing to pay a premium for downside protection, suggesting a heightened concern about potential price declines.

Put Options Activity Increases

Specifically, put options for an April 24 contract at the $66,000 strike price were trading at 0.0580 BTC, which translates to a 50% probability of Bitcoin staying below that threshold by the end of the month. This significant uptick in put options activity, coupled with a sharp decline in call options, highlights a bearish sentiment among traders.

Market Sentiment and Expiry Outlook

Moreover, the data shows that 95% of call options are set to expire worthless ahead of a major monthly expiry. This further underscores the cautious outlook in the market. As traders adjust their strategies, the focus remains on how Bitcoin will perform in the coming weeks.

The recent shift in Bitcoin options sentiment contrasts with the ongoing legislative developments in cryptocurrency taxation. As two competing bills emerge in Congress, the implications for digital asset regulation are significant. For more details, see this article.

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