Sam Bankman-Fried, the former CEO of FTX, is making headlines as he seeks a pardon from former President Donald Trump. However, the odds are not in his favor, with traders on prediction markets assigning him only a slim chance of success. According to the official information, many believe that the political landscape may hinder his chances further.
Chances of Pardon for Bankman-Fried
On Polymarket, Bankman-Fried's chances of receiving a pardon are estimated at just 2%, while Kalshi traders give him a slightly better, yet still low, 4% likelihood. His attempts to lobby Trump allies and portray his conviction as a politically motivated attack have not yet gained the traction he anticipated.
Optimism Amidst Challenges
Despite being convicted of fraud and having made substantial political contributions to President Biden's campaign, Bankman-Fried remains optimistic about his prospects for clemency. His high-profile case continues to draw attention. However, the path to a pardon appears challenging as he navigates the complex political landscape.
While Sam Bankman-Fried navigates his challenging path towards a potential pardon, visa applicants are encountering their own difficulties in securing accurate information for successful applications. For more details, see visa information.








